Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.047023 0.051228 0.055498 0.060151 0.065073 0.070116 0.075666
2024-12-15 0.039442 0.045477 0.051842 0.059027 0.066886 0.075193 0.084611
2024-12-22 0.035483 0.043005 0.051202 0.060734 0.071450 0.083063 0.096539
2024-12-29 0.031783 0.040369 0.050014 0.061533 0.074802 0.089496 0.106885
2025-01-05 0.028700 0.038093 0.048943 0.062221 0.077848 0.095482 0.116702
2025-01-12 0.025484 0.035339 0.047042 0.061701 0.079309 0.099526 0.124235
2025-01-19 0.023463 0.033840 0.046467 0.062608 0.082335 0.105320 0.133774
2025-01-26 0.021065 0.031653 0.044864 0.062102 0.083538 0.108877 0.140637
2025-02-02 0.019326 0.030165 0.044006 0.062401 0.085630 0.113436 0.148667
2025-02-09 0.018150 0.029322 0.043885 0.063555 0.088729 0.119191 0.158143
2025-02-16 0.017655 0.029354 0.044868 0.066104 0.093574 0.127106 0.170297
2025-02-23 0.015450 0.026829 0.042311 0.063920 0.092314 0.127409 0.173088
2025-03-02 0.013934 0.025213 0.040928 0.063260 0.093022 0.130221 0.179087
2025-03-09 0.012651 0.023843 0.039806 0.062883 0.094055 0.133427 0.185594
2025-03-16 0.012286 0.023840 0.040593 0.065108 0.098529 0.141047 0.197713
2025-03-23 0.011611 0.023299 0.040571 0.066190 0.101481 0.146736 0.207441
2025-03-30 0.010927 0.022691 0.040410 0.067047 0.104118 0.152028 0.216699
2025-04-06 0.009947 0.021519 0.039346 0.066572 0.104910 0.154902 0.222867
2025-04-13 0.009419 0.021063 0.039327 0.067568 0.107704 0.160401 0.232439
2025-04-20 0.008574 0.019990 0.038303 0.067056 0.108379 0.163090 0.238375
2025-04-27 0.007988 0.019326 0.037874 0.067383 0.110200 0.167293 0.246292
2025-05-04 0.007640 0.019064 0.038061 0.068608 0.113278 0.173180 0.256437
2025-05-11 0.007616 0.019403 0.039215 0.071300 0.118457 0.181929 0.270405